Pocket Aces versus a variety of hands

AA Hand Matchups

% You Will Make By River
in 100,000 Games

Royal Flush – 0.007%
Straight Flush – 0.09%
4 of a Kind – 0.84%
Full House – 8.84%
Flush – 1.98%
Straight – 3.47%
Three of a Kind – 21.39%
Two Pair – 49.16%

Pocket Pairs

Cards	Winner %	Loser %	Tie %
KK of both matching suits	82.36	17.09	0.54
KK with 1 suit matching	81.71	17.82	0.46
KK with no matched suits	81.06	18.55	0.38
QQ of both matching suits	81.97	17.51	0.52
QQ with 1 suit matching	81.33	18.24	0.43
QQ with no matched suits	80.69	18.96	0.35
JJ with both cards matching suits	81.58	17.93	0.49
JJ with 1 suit matching	80.94	18.65	0.41
JJ with no matched suits	80.31	19.36	0.33
TT with both cards matching suits	81.19	18.36	0.46
TT with 1 suit matching	80.56	19.06	0.38
TT with no suit matching	79.93	19.77	0.30
99 with both cards matching suits	81.31	18.25	0.44
99 with 1 suit matching	80.68	18.96	0.36
99 with no suit matching	80.05	19.66	0.28
88-33 look about the same as the rest 80-81%
22 with both matching suits	82.60	16.83	0.57
22 with 1 suit matching	81.95	17.51	0.54
22 with no suit matching	81.30	18.20	0.50

From the top 24 starting hands (AK, AQ, AJ, etc)

Cards

Winner %

Loser %

Tie %

AK Suited	87.23	11.51	1.26
AK offsuit (K not matching either of the AA)	91.95	6.80	1.25
AK offsuit (K matches one of the suits in AA)	92.80	5.86	1.35
AQ Suited	86.84	11.92	1.24
AQ offsuit (Q not mathing either of the AA)	91.93	7.24	1.24
AQ offsuit (Q machest one of the suits in AA)	92.37	6.30	1.33
AJ Suited	86.45	12.32	1.23
AJ offsuit (J not mathing either of the AA)	91.10	7.67	1.22
AJ offsuit (J machest one of the suits in AA)	91.93	6.75	1.32
AT Suited	86.05	12.72	1.22
AT offsuit (T not mathing either of the AA)	90.68	8.11	1.21
AT offsuit (T machest one of the suits in AA)	91.50	7.19	1.31
KQ Suited (not matching sut in AA)	82.13	17.50	0.38
KQ Suited (matching suit in AA)	83.33	16.21	0.46
KQ offsuit (K or Q matching suit in A)	86.92	12.68	0.41
KQ offsuit (K and Q matching suit in A)	87.65	11.86	0.49
KQ offsuit (neither matching suit in A)	86.18	13.49	0.33
QJ Suited (not matching suit in A)	80.12	19.52	0.36
QJ Suited (matching suit in A)	81.26	18.30	0.44
QJ offsuit (Q or J maching suit in A)	84.74	14.88	0.38
QJ offsuit (Q and J maching suit in A)	85.43	14.10	0.46
QJ offsuit ( neither matching suit in AA)	84.04	15.66	0.30
JT Suited (not matching suit in A)	78.12	21.55	0.34
JT Suited (matching suit in A)	79.19	20.39	0.42
JT offsuit (J or T maching suit in A)	82.56	17.08	0.36
JT offsuit (J and T maching suit in A)	83.22	16.34	0.44
JT offsuit ( neither matching suit in AA)	81.90	17.82	0.28
KJ Suited (not matching suit in A)	81.73	17.90	0.37
KJ Suited (matching suit in A)	82.92	16.63	0.45
KJ offsuit (K or J matching suit in A)	86.49	13.12	0.39
KJ offsuit (K and J matching suit in A)	87.21	12.32	0.47
KJ offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	85.76	13.92	0.31
QT Suited (not matching suit in A)	79.73	19.93	0.35
QT Suited (matching suit in A)	80.85	18.72	0.43
QT offsuit (Q or T matching suit in A)	84.30	15.33	0.37
QT offsuit (Q and T matching suit in A)	85.00	14.56	0.45
QT offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	83.62	16.09	0.29
J9 Suited (not matching suit in A)	78.69	20.98	0.33
J9 Suited ( matching suit in A)	79.82	19.77	0.41
J9 offsuit (J or 9 matching suit in A)	83.19	16.46	0.35
J9 offsuit (J and 9 matching suit in A)	83.87	15.70	0.43
J9 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	82.51	17.22	0.27

Random Hands We Picked To Go Heads Up

Cards	Winner %	Loser %	Tie %
72 suited (not matching suit in A)	83.12	16.51	0.38
72 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	87.24	12.40	0.36
T2 suited (not matching suit in A)	82.93	16.69	0.38
T2 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	87.03	12.60	0.37
T9 suited (not matching suit in A)	77.07	22.61	0.32
T9 offsuit (neither matching suit in A)	80.79	18.95	0.26
98 suited (not matching suit in A)	77.22	22.47	0.30
98 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	80.97	18.79	0.24
87 suited (not matching suit in A)	76.83	22.87	0.29
87 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	80.55	19.22	0.23
76 suited (not matching suit in A)	76.81	22.87	0.32
76 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	80.52	19.22	0.26
65 suited (not matching suit in A)	76.76	22.87	0.37
65 offsuit (neither matching suit in AA)	80.47	19.21	0.32

This is the reason to raise preflop with AA

6 Handed Game

AA	98o	QJo	55	63s	T2o	TIE
35.47	13.82	17.38	12.82	12.76	7.66	0.09

80% to 35% huh? Still want to avoid raising pre flop with AA? QJ offsuit now has a 3% higher chance to win the pot than when it was only heads up with the AA.

10 Handed Game

AA	KK	QQ	JJ	TT	99	88	77	66	55	TIE
25.07	19.29	13.65	10.36	7.89	5.82	4.57	4.17	4.40	4.76	0.02
AA	A2o	KQo	98o	56o	43o	T7o	T2o	72o	K5o	TIE
26.76	1.61	14.03	15.79	10.81	11.21	5.78	1.15	1.23	3.21	Varies

Its winning percentage went from averaging a little better than 80% all the way down to 25% in a 10 player game.

Also look at the drawing power of the connected cards that aren’t even suited. 98 has a great chance to win this pot, its only 10% the AA!
If the 98 offsuit flops an 8 out straight it actually becomes favored over the AA. Ironically a flop containing both a T and a 7 (giving the T7 two pair) places T7 at a disadvantage against the 8 out 98 straigth draw.

When we change 1 event preflop(98 offsuit to 98 suited) everyone else loses half a percent or so and 98 moves from a 15.79% shot to pick up the pot all the way up to 19.48%, now less than 10% away from the AA preflop.

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